Hand of the day #212
The Aces On Bridge by Bobby Wolff In a Norwegian Team Championship, Svein-Harald...
Oren Lidor is considered one of the best bridge teachers in Israel, is the author of 5 bridge books, and teaches bridge to people from all over the world on BBO.
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on board 3, why is going for trump promotion better than caching clubs and exiting with third club, waiting for setting diamond trick? Declarer doesn't have four clubs as he bid hearts, but I don't see why it is more likely for him to be 3-5-3-2 than 3-4-3-3
I agree that trump promotion is a good idea if we are sure that declarer doesn't have any more losers, but I don't see how we can be sure here. Any suggestions?
3-5-3-2 won't work since declarer discards a diamond on the third club. 3-4-3-3 is possible though South may well ,have bid 1NT in preference to 2H with QJx Jxxx Kxx Jxx
I have the exact same reservation. Playing for the trump promotion is the only for the contract to make, if declarer is 3433 including the Jack of hearts, right?
If we didn't have the ten of diamonds, then the trump promotion is probably a better bet.
Oh, now I see that the diagram in the explanation is rotated 180 degrees, and the wrong hand was exposed. Too bad 🙁
It is, after all, an instructive problem to rule out diamond continuation. And to even spot the possibility for trump promotion (I did that, but opted to play two more rounds of clubs instead).
Admittedly, there are two possibilities. One is that partner has the Jh. Then cashing the clubs and playing a spade will do. The other is the declarer has 3442 or 3433 distribution, in which case three rounds of clubs will do the job. I think it's close, honestly.
The problem as presented is incomplete: even a mildly cultivated partner would show the reminder count in clubs and the defense would be clear
"and immediately cash their ♠Q to set you."
Typo: I think you will find that is a ♠J.
Also, any comment about Hand 3 declarer dumping the JACK of clubs under your King? It would take a brave East to try "cashing" AC before giving the promo after that! If East instead plays another spade to give the trump promotion, declarer triumphantly discards the C3 and makes the contract. A diamond from East is obviously fatal. A passive trump exit lets declarer play all the trumps down to dummy having QC and the three diamonds, East having to keep all three diamonds and KC, and now a club throws him in to make the contract.
Playing JC is clever, but if JC is singleton, that gives declarer 9 red cards. If they have 4 diamonds, QC is not a useful pitch and you might as well try AC. If they have 6 hearts and 3 diamonds, you can't beat the hand even with a trump promotion because of the throw-in you mentioned.