Bidrush #1

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Bidrush #1

Bidrush #1

What's your bid (IMPs Scoring)?

Pass 10 8
5 :spades: 7 5
5 :hearts: 6 2
Dbl 4 0
6 :spades: 0 0
6 :hearts: 0 0
5NT 0 0
6 :clubs: 0 0
6NT 0 0
6 :diamonds: 0 0

There appear to be only three real options, and more than 90% of competition entrants choose one of those three. The panel votes only 8-to-7 in favor of defending, but I think the passers also have the best of the debate:

BIRD: Pass. Do I want to invest a likely -500 against a diamond game that is no certainty to make? I might do so at matchpoints, but not at IMPs.

KOH: Pass. I might bid 5♠ at matchpoints, but not IMPs. Attempting to save 100 points (-500 vs -600) is too risky when it is possible either that 5 will go down or that the opponents should be in slam. We have already made them guess, so it is time to hope they have done the wrong thing.

FREDIN: Pass. I hope partner has a slow club trick, otherwise it will likely make.

FINDLAY: Pass. At first glance, it looks like we should be saving. 5♠ would most likely go two down for -500. However, there is a reasonable chance that partner may have a trick in one of the minors, giving us three tricks for +100. It is also possible that they can make 12 tricks, and I would not want to push them there.

COHEN: Pass. Once I pre-empt, I typically don’t bid again. Hopefully, the pre-empt has done its job. Also, I have decent defensive prospects, especially if North is 1-2 in the majors. Lastly, 5♠ is likely -500 anyway so, even if 5 makes, sacrificing will not show much profit.

ROBSON: Pass. I reckon 5♠ is probably two down (unless partner has a singleton diamond), so it’s no big deal to save, but I still feel a bit feeble to sell. I'll guess to lead the K.

Wen Fei makes an important point that many missed:

WANG: Pass. The five-level belongs to opponents. If partner has a singleton heart, maybe they cannot even make 5 .

Tim sums up the case for the defense.

COPE: Pass. Whilst one expects 5♠ to go for only 500, are we really trying to gain 3 IMPs? There are many hands where we cannot even beat 6 , but there will also be some on which 5 will go down, if we can take a spade trick, a heart trick and one unexpected trick from partner. Based on risk/reward, it must be best to pass 5 . We only lose out significantly if they can make exactly 11 tricks AND partner has a singleton diamond so that we could have escaped for -200.

So, what do the bidders have to say?

DEWIJS: 5♠ . Who knows?

BRINK: 5♠ . The five-level is for the opponents. But, that said, 5♠ is usually at most two down. Can 5 be defeated? Sure, the A is enough (and spades 1-1). But since nobody knows, I like to give the opponents the last chance to make a mistake. I bid 5♠ , and let’s hope the opponents have no idea whether to bid or not to bid.

KLUKOWSKI: 5♠ . Kind of a matchpoint bid, because we are likely to go down two for -500, but maybe partner has a stiff diamond, or the A? For me, pass is not an option.

If you are going to bid, Dave points out why 5♠ is the best option.

WILLIAMS: 5♠ . 5 is pointless as we are on lead already. We MIGHT get a heart trick and we MIGHT get a club trick too, if partner has something useful there. But we can’t double, as we can’t rely on a defensive spade trick and partner could just have KQJxxx and nothing else. It’s more of an offensive hand than a defensive one, so I bid to the length of our fit with 5♠ .

A few seem to be worried that, having asked his partner to choose a minor, North is going to overrule him and play in clubs anyway, leaving partner on lead.

MOSLON: 5♠ . I go with the law. I would like to bid 5 , but the problem is that I don’t want a heart lead against slam if spades are 1/1. So I hope for the best.

MEYERS: 5 . I realize this is tipping them off to my distribution, but I don’t know that a spade lead would survive, and if they bid slam and partner has a minor-suit trick I would like to get our heart trick(s) set up.

SUNDELIN: 5 . I am gambling that they won’t make slam on a heart lead, or that partner sacrifices with the right cards, and that 5♠ will make or be cheap, and that they make 5m. Hmmm, perhaps I am hoping too much.

Partner had KQ109xx/x/10x/Q109x so, as expected, you have four top losers in 5♠ -X. However, both sides could make only nine tricks: North was 1-3-4-5 shape and declarer in 5 had to lose a spade, two hearts and a club.

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7 comments on “Bidrush #1”
  1. Like some other quizzes, the answers can be seen by me even before attempting the quiz. This is because first the answer comes then then the choices, and simultaneously the answer disappears